Published Works

February 10, 2018

Egypt’s New Sinai Campaign Unlikely to Achieve Long Term Stability

On Friday, February 9, the Egyptian Ministry of Defense published a statement announcing an escalated military campaign in the North Sinai, Western Desert, and areas of the Nile Delta, all of which have seen major terrorist attacks in the past year on both civilians and security personnel. The “comprehensive plan,” declared… Read More

July 27, 2017

Measuring Success in Egypt’s War on Terror

The Egyptian Ministry of Defense posted a grainy video to its YouTube channel on Monday: A vehicle slowly approaches a checkpoint south of Arish. Nearby cars drive away and people scatter as a military tank crushes the vehicle, and presumably anyone who was inside. As the tank is driven away,… Read More

May 1, 2017

Egypt Considers its Options in the Battle Against ISIL

Co-authored with Jacob Greene. Years into Egypt’s war on terror, the conflict rages: in the past six months we have seen the bombing of the St Mark’s Cathedral complex, deadly twin Palm Sunday bombings, an attack on one of the world’s oldest functioning monasteries and weeks of conflict with tribes… Read More

March 3, 2017

High Expectations: Egypt-US Relations in the Age of Trump

Co-authored with Amr Kotb. Earlier this month, Egyptian foreign minister Sameh Shoukry visited Washington, meeting with members of Congress, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, and newly minted national security adviser H.R. McMaster. While the trip addressed Egypt-U.S. relations, it also set the stage for an upcoming Egyptian delegation that will… Read More

November 4, 2016

If You’re Going Through Hell, Keep Going: A Guide to Egypt’s Free Float

Co-authored with Mohamed Dahshan The wait is over. After months of hints, predictions, and speculation, Egypt’s pound was floated on the market Thursday. Trading that morning at around 8.88 Egyptian pounds (LE) to the dollar, Egypt’s Commercial International Bank (CIB) closed the day at 16. Upon announcing the float, the… Read More

July 6, 2016

Egypt’s Mainland Terrorism Landscape

Co-authored with Jake Greene. On May 8, four men carried out a brutal mass shooting, emptying their magazines into an adjacent car as they drove along the Nile in Helwan, a district in Cairo. Eight policemen were killed during the attack, which was claimed by both the Islamic State in… Read More

July 1, 2016

Sinai Insurgency Rages On

A year ago, in the early hours of July 1, a group of militants began their largest and most daring initiative yet: a coordinated offensive on the city of Sheikh Zuweid in the northeastern corner of Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula. Numbering well over a hundred fighters, within five hours they had attacked… Read More